MANUFACTURING
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Gardner Business Index: Business Activity Whiplash Concerns
Strategy Government stimulated consumption over the last year coupled with unprecedented restrictions on global production has driven the intersection of supply and demand into unprecedented territory. Price shocks as reported by manufacturers are being felt both upstream and downstream; it may only be a matter of time before these shocks are more directly felt at the consumer level.Recent Posts
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Rising Inflation Sends the Real 10-Year Treasury Rate to Its Lowest Since Nov. 2011
The inflation rate reached 2.62% in March. Even though the nominal 10-year Treasury rate rose for the eighth month in a row, this significantly higher rate of inflation since the real 10-year Treasury down to -1.01%, which was the lowest real rate since November 2011.
Unemployed Are Raring to Get Back To Work
Many firms are looking to get back to business with many hopeful that COVID will be a rear-mirror issue in the near future.
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Understanding a Diffusion Index Like the GBI
The Gardner Business Index (GBI) -just like the Purchasing Manager Indices compiled around the world- is calculated as a diffusion index. A diffusion index is at its core a weighted average meaning that it behaves differently from the majority of charts used in the business world. Understanding how the results are calculated will help you to both understand what a particular value is indicating along with how to properly compare readings over time.
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