MANUFACTURING
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Gardner Business Index: Business Activity Whiplash Concerns

Strategy Government stimulated consumption over the last year coupled with unprecedented restrictions on global production has driven the intersection of supply and demand into unprecedented territory. Price shocks as reported by manufacturers are being felt both upstream and downstream; it may only be a matter of time before these shocks are more directly felt at the consumer level.

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GARDNER INTELLIGENCE
Market Reports

February Machine Tool Order Growth Fastest Since September 2018 February Machine Tool Order Growth Fastest Since September 2018 February machine tool unit orders were the highest since February 2013. Order growth is booming as the GBI: Metalworking is hitting all-time highs as a result of strong growth in new orders and production at machine shops.
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Durable Goods New Orders Grew for Fourth Consecutive Month Durable Goods New Orders Grew for Fourth Consecutive Month Durable goods new orders continued their run of growth as aerospace new orders grew 31% from one year ago, which was their first month of growth since July 2019.
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The 2020 World Machine Tool Survey Shows Machine Tool Downturn Continued The 2020 World Machine Tool Survey Shows Machine Tool Downturn Continued The 2020 World Machine Tool Survey details the machine tool production, imports, exports, and consumption of 62 countries. Also, highlighted are trends in key leading indicators, such as money supply, industrial production, and capacity utilization. And, the top five imported and exported machine tool types with their percent change from the previous year for each country are also detailed.
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ECONOMIC NEWS
Gardner Intelligence

Intelligence Blog

Rising Inflation Sends the Real 10-Year Treasury Rate to Its Lowest Since Nov. 2011 The inflation rate reached 2.62% in March. Even though the nominal 10-year Treasury rate rose for the eighth month in a row, this significantly higher rate of inflation since the real 10-year Treasury down to -1.01%, which was the lowest real rate since November 2011.
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Unemployed Are Raring to Get Back To Work Many firms are looking to get back to business with many hopeful that COVID will be a rear-mirror issue in the near future.
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Has Video

Understanding a Diffusion Index Like the GBI The Gardner Business Index (GBI) -just like the Purchasing Manager Indices compiled around the world- is calculated as a diffusion index.  A diffusion index is at its core a weighted average meaning that it behaves differently from the majority of charts used in the business world.  Understanding how the results are calculated will help you to both understand what a particular value is indicating along with how to properly compare readings over time.
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