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Gardner Business Index: Business Activity Whiplash Concerns

Strategy Government stimulated consumption over the last year coupled with unprecedented restrictions on global production has driven the intersection of supply and demand into unprecedented territory. Price shocks as reported by manufacturers are being felt both upstream and downstream; it may only be a matter of time before these shocks are more directly felt at the consumer level.

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GARDNER INTELLIGENCE
Market Reports

February Monetary Base Growth Fastest since May 2020 February Monetary Base Growth Fastest since May 2020

Compared with one year ago, February’s monetary base was up 57.7%, which was the sixth month in a row and eighth in the last 10 months with faster than 50% growth.

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Durable Goods Spending Continued Torrid Growth in February Durable Goods Spending Continued Torrid Growth in February Thanks to low interest rates, stimulus, and shifting spending patterns, consumer durable goods spending continued to grow at its fastest rate in decades. 
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Disposable Income Growth Slows to a More Normal Rate Disposable Income Growth Slows to a More Normal Rate Real disposable income was 8% below January’s level. However, it was still higher than the disposable income for any month since July 2020.
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Gardner Intelligence

Intelligence Blog

Durable Goods New Orders Grew for Fourth Consecutive Month Durable goods new orders continued their run of growth as aerospace new orders grew 31% from one year ago, which was their first month of growth since July 2019.
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Intelligence Blog

The 2020 World Machine Tool Survey Shows Machine Tool Downturn Continued The 2020 World Machine Tool Survey details the machine tool production, imports, exports, and consumption of 62 countries. Also, highlighted are trends in key leading indicators, such as money supply, industrial production, and capacity utilization. And, the top five imported and exported machine tool types with their percent change from the previous year for each country are also detailed.
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March 2021 GBI: 63.2 Government stimulated consumption over the last year coupled with unprecedented restrictions on global production has driven the intersection of supply and demand into unprecedented territory.  Price shocks as reported by manufacturers are being felt both upstream and downstream; it may only be a matter of time before these shocks are more directly felt at the consumer level.
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