Published

Closed Mexico Border Could Cost Carmakers $70 Million per Hour

President Donald Trump’s threat to completely close the Mexico border would idle much of the U.S. auto industry in days, according to the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Mich.
#economics

Share

President Donald Trump’s threat to completely close the Mexico border would idle the much of the U.S. auto industry in days, according to the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Mich.

Kristin Dziczek, CAR’s vice president for industry, labor and economic, notes that parts shortages would ripple across the industry and quickly disrupt production. Last year some $113 billion in vehicles and parts flowed from Mexico to the U.S., and $36 billion did the same in the opposite direction.

Dziczek estimates that each idled auto assembly line in the U.S. would cost its owner about $1.3 million per hour. A shutdown of all 54 major auto plants in the U.S., a highly unlikely scenario, could cost carmakers $70 million per hour, or $5.6 billion per week.

Dziczek’s estimate doesn’t include the impact on U.S.-based suppliers or the country’s auto dealer network.

She predicts that wiring harnesses would quickly become a major choke point for vehicle production. That’s because almost 80% of such parts used in the U.S. normally cross the Mexico-U.S. border from production facilities in Mexico or Central and South America.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Study: Border Tax, NAFTA Exit Would Hurt U.S.

    The U.S. auto industry would lose at least 31,000 manufacturing jobs and 450,000 units of annual sales if the U.S. imposes 35% tariffs on cars from Mexico, as President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to do.

  • Global Car Market to Shrink for 2-3 Years

    Global sales of light vehicles will decline year on year through at least 2021, predicts LMC Automotive at its annual outlook conference outside Detroit, Mich.

  • On Global EV Sales, Lean and the Supply Chain & Dealing With Snow

    The distribution of EVs and potential implications, why lean still matters even with supply chain issues, where there are the most industrial robots, a potential coming shortage that isn’t a microprocessor, mapping tech and obscured signs, and a look at the future

Gardner Business Media - Strategic Business Solutions