Published

Incentives Rise as SUV Sales Growth Slows in U.S.

SUV/crossovers remain the hottest-selling sector of the U.S. auto market. But inventories are piling up, and profit-sapping sales incentives are on the rise.
#economics

Share

SUV/crossovers remain the hottest-selling sector of the U.S. auto market. But inventories are piling up, and profit-sapping sales incentives are on the rise.

Last month the cost of such incentives jumped 24% compared with a 13% increase for the market overall, according Bloomberg News, which cites dealer data from J.D. Power’s Power Information Network. PIN says the average SUV sale in January included $3,663 in discounts, up $704 from January 2016.

At the same time, the average transaction price for such vehicles shrank by $733 to $33,100. “There’s more price pressure ahead,” warns Jeff Schuster, who heads automotive analysis for LMC Automotive.

Schuster says carmakers, who were caught chronically short when the SUV/crossover boom began five years ago, over-produced in October-December. Now U.S. dealer inventories of unsold SUVs surpass 1.6 million units, one-third higher than they were a year ago.

Last year the SUV/crossover segment, led by the Honda CR-V (2017 model pictured), outsold conventional cars for the first time ever. But sales growth, which surged 16% in 2015, slowed to 8% in 2016.

Still, that doesn’t mean that growth will stop. LMC predicts SUVs will capture 43% of the U.S. market in 2024 compared with 30.7% in 2012 and nearly 40% last year. Schuster says it’s still possible that SUVs will reach 50% of the U.S. passenger car market in the next few years.

RELATED CONTENT

  • On Global EV Sales, Lean and the Supply Chain & Dealing With Snow

    The distribution of EVs and potential implications, why lean still matters even with supply chain issues, where there are the most industrial robots, a potential coming shortage that isn’t a microprocessor, mapping tech and obscured signs, and a look at the future

  • Inside Ford

    On this edition of “Autoline After Hours” Joann Muller, Detroit bureau chief for Forbes, provides insights into what she’s learned about Ford, insights that are amplified on the show by our other panelists, Stephanie Brinley, principal analyst at IHS Markit who specializes in the auto industry, and Todd Lassa, Detroit Bureau Chief for Automobile.

  • On Quantum Navigation, EVs, Auto Industry Sales and more

    Sandia’s quantum navi, three things about EVs, transporting iron ore in an EV during the winter, going underwater in an EV (OK, it is a sub), state of the UK auto industry (sad), why the Big Three likes Big Vehicles, and the future of logistics.

Gardner Business Media - Strategic Business Solutions